Reading AI Readiness Backwards, UNDP – Case Study
EvalCommunity Academy Case Study
Reading AI Readiness Backwards
What country experience reveals once AI adoption is already underway
Main source: Download and read the UNDP report
This case study is based on the UNDP publication Reading AI Readiness Backwards: Country Insights on AI Adoption and Implementation. Academy members are encouraged to read the complete publication for the full methodology, country evidence and recommendations.
Download and Read the UNDP Report
Official source: https://www.undp.org/publications/reading-ai-readiness-backwards-country-insights-ai-adoption-and-implementation
Case-study focus: AI readiness, institutional capacity, data governance, public-sector implementation, responsible AI, local ecosystems, monitoring and evaluation.
Evidence base: The UNDP report draws on 26 Artificial Intelligence Landscape Assessments completed between 2024 and 2026. The countries are not presented as a statistically representative sample, ranked or assigned an aggregated readiness score.
Learning objectives
After completing this case study, learners should be able to:
- Explain why AI readiness cannot be understood only as preparation before adoption.
- Identify the conditions that become binding once AI adoption begins.
- Analyse the relationships between policy, data, infrastructure, procurement, talent, ecosystems and governance.
- Distinguish political commitment from institutional operating capacity.
- Assess whether AI investments strengthen national agency and create local value.
- Develop M&E questions for responsible and sustainable AI adoption.
- Identify evidence that could support a decision to scale, modify, pause or discontinue an AI initiative.
1. Background
Many AI-readiness frameworks compare national conditions with international indicators and benchmarks. UNDP’s Artificial Intelligence Landscape Assessment, known as AILA, takes a complementary approach by examining how AI is entering real institutions, markets and public systems.
AILA combines quantitative indicators, stakeholder perspectives, desk research, consultations, workshops and contextual analysis. It brings together governments, civil society, academia, private-sector actors and development partners.
The accumulated evidence suggests that AI adoption frequently begins before countries have completed national strategies, dedicated legislation or comprehensive governance systems.
Once AI adoption is underway, readiness becomes an implementation question rather than only a measure of preparation.
AI may enter public and economic systems through:
- Public procurement and vendor relationships
- Cloud services and enterprise software
- Digital-government programmes and public infrastructure
- Sector-specific and donor-supported initiatives
- Research partnerships and private-sector activity
- Informal use of publicly available AI tools by institutional staff
The central case-study question
Can countries connect political authority, delivery systems, data, infrastructure, talent, ecosystems and governance quickly enough to shape AI adoption before early choices become embedded in contracts, platforms, institutions and dependencies?
2. Six patterns from the country evidence
The report identifies six connected patterns that explain what becomes operationally important once AI adoption has begun.
Pattern 1: Political attention is not the primary constraint
Political interest in AI is already visible in many assessed countries. The more difficult task is translating that interest into mandates, financing, delivery capacity, coordination, procurement capability, oversight and accountability.
Viet Nam: AI is being incorporated into strategies for research, development, digital transformation, socioeconomic development and national competitiveness. Constraints remain in regulation, funding, data, infrastructure and workforce capacity.
Malawi: High-level political recognition needs to be converted into strategy, delivery capacity, data governance, procurement reform and institutional coordination.
Ethiopia: Political commitment and state leadership are advancing AI as a national priority, while implementation depends on compute, interoperable data, applied skills and trust frameworks.
Trinidad and Tobago: Strong political commitment is accompanied by priorities relating to shared infrastructure, public-sector capability, trust, safety, talent retention and public awareness.
M&E implication: A strategy, public statement or national committee is not sufficient evidence of implementation readiness.
Pattern 2: AI adoption often enters through systems, not strategies
Consequential AI-related choices are frequently made through procurement, digital infrastructure, software and service-delivery systems before they are recognized as formal AI-policy decisions.
Uzbekistan: National AI strategies operate alongside sector priorities, e-government services, diagnostic pilots, virtual assistants and plans to expand AI-enabled public services.
Bhutan: AI adoption is expected to build on government-to-citizen services, payment gateways, government data infrastructure, national data exchange and digital identity.
Mongolia: AI technologies have entered some public services while institutional alignment, inter-agency arrangements and oversight remain works in progress.
Montenegro: AI adoption is connected to public-service integration, digital infrastructure, open data, public–private partnerships and potential sector applications.
M&E implication: Evaluators should examine procurement, registries, service portals, digital identity, payment systems, data exchanges and vendor relationships—not only national AI strategies.
Pattern 3: Data determines whether adoption becomes implementation
Strategies and pilot projects can create momentum, but implementation depends on data quality, accessibility, discoverability, interoperability, stewardship, security, privacy and responsible reuse.
Uzbekistan: Important digital-government assets coexist with fragmented ministerial data, heterogeneous formats, discovery gaps and inconsistent data-quality practices.
Burundi: Institutions produce increasing volumes of data, but access, quality, sharing, interoperability, security and protection require strengthening.
Côte d’Ivoire and Guinea: Priorities include data governance, shared platforms, institutional coordination, analytical capacity, cybersecurity and algorithmic responsibility.
Guatemala: Institutional silos, inconsistent quality, limited exchange standards and difficulty identifying available datasets constrain responsible adoption at scale.
M&E implication: Data readiness should be assessed as institutional implementation infrastructure, not only as a technical condition.
Pattern 4: Foundations determine agency, not just capacity
Foundations include connectivity, compute, cloud infrastructure, energy reliability, data centres, financing, technical talent, procurement expertise and institutional capability.
Bhutan: Strong connectivity and digital infrastructure are accompanied by a need for greater computing capacity and network resilience.
Malawi: Reliable electricity, connectivity, interoperable systems, data quality and trusted digital identity are important foundations for wider implementation.
Costa Rica: Favourable general digital conditions coexist with limitations in high-performance computing and AI-ready data-centre services.
Rwanda: Technical training and university programmes support adoption, while project management and ethical-governance capability are also required.
M&E implication: Infrastructure should be assessed according to whether it expands the ability to choose, adapt, supervise, negotiate, contest and sustain AI systems.
Pattern 5: Ecosystems determine whether foundations create local value
Infrastructure, data and talent generate development value when they are connected to public demand, research, financing, enterprise development, procurement opportunities and implementation pathways.
Montenegro: AI readiness is connected to innovation policy, public procurement, financing, competitiveness and public–private collaboration.
Malawi: Emerging talent and innovation nodes coexist with gaps in faculty capacity, compute access, financing, commercialization, public data access and startup procurement routes.
Dominican Republic and Colombia: Priorities include stronger financing, ecosystem coordination, entrepreneurship, private-sector innovation and links between research, training and productive-sector needs.
Paraguay: Wider participation, rights awareness and ethical-use training are emphasized across public institutions, universities, industry and civil society.
M&E implication: A successful initiative should leave local institutions and ecosystem actors better able to address future development problems.
Pattern 6: Governance becomes consequential through implementation
Responsible-AI principles become meaningful when they influence procurement, system selection, data use, human review, vendor management, monitoring, incident reporting, explanation, correction and redress.
Bhutan: Identified priorities include stronger oversight, legal frameworks, safety protocols, risk categorization, impact assessment, monitoring and explainability.
Mongolia: Gaps concern transparency, safety, accountability, explainability, risk classification and dedicated oversight.
Viet Nam: Relevant measures include transparency, bias mitigation, safety protocols, continuous evaluation and stakeholder engagement.
Trinidad and Tobago: Priorities include oversight, incident reporting, escalation, rights, recourse, explainability and opt-out mechanisms.
Dominican Republic: Responsible-AI intent is present, but accountability, human oversight, incident reporting and post-deployment monitoring remain weakly institutionalized.
M&E implication: Governance should be assessed by examining whether safeguards change contracts, procurement, monitoring, disclosure, performance standards and redress procedures.
3. The implementation test
The six patterns form one interconnected implementation system:
The deeper risk is unmanaged adoption
AI may enter institutions through external providers, imported platforms or short-term projects without sufficient visibility into who benefits, who may be harmed, what dependencies are created, what capabilities are developed and who remains accountable.
4. Academy exercises
Exercise 1: Identify what becomes binding
For each of the six readiness dimensions, identify:
- Existing strengths
- Binding constraints
- Emerging dependencies
- Potentially affected or excluded groups
- Evidence still required
- Priority institutional responses
Exercise 2: Compare two country examples
Select two countries from the case and compare:
- How AI is entering national systems
- Existing strategic or political commitment
- Relatively strong foundations
- Remaining data, infrastructure or institutional constraints
- Local participation and value creation
- Whether governance safeguards are operational
- Evidence required before adoption expands
Do not rank the countries. Examine how different combinations of strengths and constraints affect national agency.
Exercise 3: Build an AI-adoption evaluation matrix
Relevance: Is AI addressing a clearly defined development or public-service problem?
Coherence: Is the initiative connected to existing systems, strategies and institutional reforms?
Effectiveness: Is it improving the intended service or institutional outcome?
Efficiency: What savings and additional infrastructure, staffing, vendor and oversight costs are created?
Equity and inclusion: Who benefits, who may be excluded and which groups experience additional burdens?
Sustainability: Can national institutions supervise, maintain, adapt or replace the system?
Accountability: Can affected people obtain an explanation, challenge a decision and access correction or redress?
5. What should M&E measure?
AI adoption should not be measured only through the number of pilots, tools deployed, partnerships signed or people trained.
Service quality: Is the service meaningfully better after AI is introduced?
Errors: What types of errors occur, how serious are they and how are they distributed?
Equity: Are benefits, risks and administrative burdens distributed fairly?
User experience: Can people understand and navigate AI-supported services?
Staff capability: Can staff commission, supervise, question and evaluate the system?
Costs and trade-offs: What infrastructure, vendor, staffing, oversight and opportunity costs arise?
Institutional capability: Do knowledge, authority and implementation capacity remain within national institutions?
Local value: Are local researchers, enterprises and communities able to participate and benefit?
Sustainability: Will benefits and capabilities continue after a pilot or contract ends?
Contestability: Can decisions, errors and failures be questioned and corrected?
Learning: Does implementation evidence lead to changes in policy and practice?
6. Eight decision questions
- Where is AI already entering systems? Map procurement, vendors, public institutions, digital infrastructure, research projects and informal use.
- Who is shaping adoption? Identify the priorities and influence of government, vendors, investors, universities, civil society and development partners.
- Is there operating authority behind the strategy? Examine mandates, financing, procurement responsibility, supervision and accountability.
- Do foundational investments expand agency? Determine whether they strengthen the ability to choose, adapt, supervise and sustain systems.
- Do early initiatives create reusable capacity? Examine whether pilots strengthen data, workflows, safeguards, procurement knowledge and institutional learning.
- What can be shared or reused? Consider shared compute, standards, assurance, evaluation tools, benchmarks and regulatory learning.
- How will value, cost and risk guide decisions? Define the evidence required to scale, modify, pause, replace or stop an initiative.
- Are safeguards embedded where decisions are made? Verify their presence in contracts, procurement, data governance, monitoring and redress mechanisms.
Key conclusions
AI adoption is already occurring. Countries should not assume that they remain at a purely preparatory stage.
Strategies are necessary but insufficient. Political ambition does not automatically produce financing, coordination, procurement capability or accountability.
Data and infrastructure affect national agency. Their value depends on whether institutions can make deliberate choices, monitor outcomes and negotiate with providers.
Local value requires a connected ecosystem. Talent, universities, enterprises, financing, public demand and procurement need to work together.
Governance must become operational. Responsible-AI principles matter when they influence contracts, data practices, monitoring, explanations, correction and redress.
Final reflection
When an AI initiative is technically operational, but the responsible institution cannot independently evaluate it, supervise its provider, measure its distributional effects or correct its failures, should it be considered evidence of AI readiness?
Read the complete source publication
Explore the complete UNDP report for the full cross-country analysis, assessment methodology, implementation questions and country evidence.
Continue your professional learning
AI in Monitoring & Evaluation Certificate
Learn how to apply AI across evaluation design, data management, qualitative and quantitative analysis, monitoring, reporting, ethics and responsible implementation.
All EvalCommunity Academy case studies are included in the AI in Monitoring & Evaluation course.
Explore the AI in M&E Certificate Course
